Record tractor sales likely due to ample rains and farm loan waivers: Crisil

New Delhi: Two consecutive years of good rains and crop loan waivers in key states will push tractors sales to a record high in 2017-18, Crisil said in a note on Tuesday.

Sales of tractors, seen as a barometer of rural demand, may touch a new peak of 650,000 units in 2017-18, about 12% higher than the 580,000 units sold in 2016-17, the ratings agency said.

Tractor sales rose 18% in 2016-17 (year-on-year), helped by a normal monsoon, underscoring the strong correlation between rains and tractor makers’ fortunes.

The June-to-September south-west monsoon, which irrigates more than half of India’s crop area, has so far seen surplus rains of 2% compared to the normal or 50-year average. According to Crisil, sales of tractors fell by 10% in 2015-16, when rains were sub-par.

“Farm loan waivers in states such as Maharashtra, Punjab, and Uttar Pradesh which account for more than a quarter of the domestic tractor sales—plus the fact that other states could follow suit—will put money in the hands of the farmers,” Crisil’s note said.  Read more

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